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資源與能源季刊2017年6月Resources and Energy Quarterly June 2017

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更新時(shí)間：2021-09-09
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自2017年3月的《資源和能源季刊》以來，澳大利亞2016-17年的資源和能源出口收入被下調(diào)99億美元(4.6%)至2050億美元。這一向下修正主要反映了自2017年3月《資源與能源季刊》(Resources and Energy Quarterly)以來，鐵礦石價(jià)格的下跌早于預(yù)期。鐵礦石出口收入下調(diào)72億美元至650億美元。液化天然氣的出口收入也被下調(diào)了10億美元，主要原因是一些液化天然氣工廠發(fā)生了計(jì)劃外的停產(chǎn)。鐵礦石價(jià)格下調(diào)也是2017 - 18、2018-19年資源能源出口收益下調(diào)的主要原因。Ichthys項(xiàng)目(將生產(chǎn)液化天然氣和凝析油)預(yù)計(jì)將推遲啟動，以及油價(jià)前景向下修正(將影響液化天然氣價(jià)格前景)，也導(dǎo)致了資源和能源出口收入總額向下修正。冶金用煤和銅價(jià)格預(yù)期向下修正也是2017-18年和2018 - 19年出口收益修正的原因之一。整體而言，2017-18年資源和能源出口收入下調(diào)130億美元至2020億美元，而2018-19年出口收入下調(diào)83億美元至2000億美元

Since the March 2017 Resources and Energy Quarterly, the value of Australia’s resources and energy export earnings in 2016–17 has been revised down by $9.9 billion (4.6 per cent) to $205 billion. The downward revision primarily reflects an earlier than expected decline in iron ore prices since the March 2017 Resources and Energy Quarterly. Export earnings for iron ore have been revised down by $7.2 billion to $65 billion. Export earnings have also been revised down for LNG — by $1.0 billion — largely due to unplanned outages at LNG plants. A downward revision to the iron ore price is also the primary reason for the downward revision in resource and energy export earnings in 2017– 18 and 2018–19. An anticipated delay to the start-up of the Ichthys project (which will produce LNG and condensate), and downward revisions to the oil price outlook (which affects the LNG price outlook) also contributed to the downward revisions in total resources and energy export earnings. Downward revisions to the metallurgical coal and copper price outlooks also contributed to the revisions to export earning in 2017–18 and 2018– 19. Overall, resource and energy export earnings in 2017–18 have been revised down by $13 billion to $202 billion, while export earnings in 2018–19 have been revised down by $8.3 billion to $200 billion

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