Scenario Formation of Energy Demand and CO2 Emissions for Sustainable China
- 期刊名字:中國人口·資源與環(huán)境(英文版)
- 文件大小:
- 論文作者:Wei Baoren,Yagita Hiroshi
- 作者單位:Suzhou University of Science and Technology,Nippon Institute of Technology
- 更新時(shí)間:2022-11-28
- 下載次數(shù):次
Co-integration theory has been employed in this paper and Granger causes are found between urbanization rate and GDP, between capital stock and GDP. Scenario analysis of GDP is performed using the GDP model established in the paper. The energy consumptions in Germany, Japan and other developed countries are analyzed and compared with the energy consumption in China. Environmental friendly scenario of energy demand and CO2 emissions for sustainable China has been formed based on the results of comparison. Under environmental friendly scenario, the primary energy consumption will be 4.31 billion ton coal equivalence (tee) and CO2 emissions will be 1.854 billion t-c in 2050; energy per capital will be 3.06 tce that is 1.8 times of energy consumed in 2005 in China and 51% of consumed energy per capital in Japan in 2003. In 2050, the energy requirement of unit GDP will be 20% lower than that of Germany in 2003, but will be still 37% higher than that in Japan in 2003. It is certain that to fulfill the environmental friendly Scenario of energy demand and CO 2 emissions is a difficult task and it needs long term efforts of the whole society, not only in production sectors but also in service and household sectors.
-
C4烯烴制丙烯催化劑 2022-11-28
-
煤基聚乙醇酸技術(shù)進(jìn)展 2022-11-28
-
生物質(zhì)能的應(yīng)用工程 2022-11-28
-
我國甲醇工業(yè)現(xiàn)狀 2022-11-28
-
石油化工設(shè)備腐蝕與防護(hù)參考書十本免費(fèi)下載,絕版珍藏 2022-11-28
-
四噴嘴水煤漿氣化爐工業(yè)應(yīng)用情況簡介 2022-11-28
-
Lurgi和ICI低壓甲醇合成工藝比較 2022-11-28
-
甲醇制芳烴研究進(jìn)展 2022-11-28
-
精甲醇及MTO級甲醇精餾工藝技術(shù)進(jìn)展 2022-11-28
